TY - JOUR
T1 - A new indicator of coalition size
T2 - Tests against standard regime-type indicators
AU - Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce
AU - Smith, Alastair
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 by the Southwestern Social Science Association.
PY - 2022/3
Y1 - 2022/3
N2 - Objective: We develop a new measure for selectorate's theory central concept, winning coalition size, using indicators developed by the V-Dem project. Methods: To demonstrate the measure's efficacy, we examine its ability to account for government provision of public and private goods, a central prediction in selection theory. The winning coalition measure is compared to eight widely used indicators of regime type in analyses of 30 measures of government policy provision. Results: Based on Vuong tests and Akaike information criteria, the new measure generally outperforms the alternative regime measures whether the assessment is across all regimes, within nondemocratic regimes or within democratic settings. Conclusion: The new indicator provides an improved tool for testing the nuances of selectorate theory.
AB - Objective: We develop a new measure for selectorate's theory central concept, winning coalition size, using indicators developed by the V-Dem project. Methods: To demonstrate the measure's efficacy, we examine its ability to account for government provision of public and private goods, a central prediction in selection theory. The winning coalition measure is compared to eight widely used indicators of regime type in analyses of 30 measures of government policy provision. Results: Based on Vuong tests and Akaike information criteria, the new measure generally outperforms the alternative regime measures whether the assessment is across all regimes, within nondemocratic regimes or within democratic settings. Conclusion: The new indicator provides an improved tool for testing the nuances of selectorate theory.
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U2 - 10.1111/ssqu.13123
DO - 10.1111/ssqu.13123
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85127252335
SN - 0038-4941
VL - 103
SP - 365
EP - 379
JO - Social Science Quarterly
JF - Social Science Quarterly
IS - 2
ER -