@inproceedings{4c992f269631409586c3550a8598ecea,
title = "Agent-Based Evacuation Modeling in the Context of Non-Recurring Events",
abstract = "Evacuation is an important measure in emergency planning, and agent-based simulation model is an effective tool to test the reasonableness of the evacuation plans. This study simulates the evacuation behavior of New York City residents based on real data from Hurricane Sandy by using the mesoscopic multi-intelligence simulation tool MATSim. It aims to estimate road capacity loss. In this study, negative binomial and log-normal distributions are applied to model accident frequency and duration. Subsequently, observations of non-recurring events are generated from the above distributions by Monte Carlo simulations, and the loss of capacity caused by non-recurring events is modeled and dynamically incorporated into the simulation network according to the observations. In addition, the NYBPM V2.1 model is also used to calibrate the road network capacity and free speed of MATSim resulting in a more realistic and reliable simulation model. The results show that the data obtained from the calibrated road network model are more consistent with Manhattan taxi travel times.",
keywords = "Emergency evacuation, Network Calibration, Non-recurring events, Road capacity loss",
author = "Qi Zhang and Yuan Zhu and Kaan Ozbay and Guoqing Song",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} ASCE.; 23rd COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals: Innovation-Empowered Technology for Sustainable, Intelligent, Decarbonized, and Connected Transportation, CICTP 2023 ; Conference date: 14-07-2023 Through 17-07-2023",
year = "2023",
doi = "10.1061/9780784484869.255",
language = "English (US)",
series = "CICTP 2023: Innovation-Empowered Technology for Sustainable, Intelligent, Decarbonized, and Connected Transportation - Proceedings of the 23rd COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals",
publisher = "American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)",
pages = "2689--2697",
editor = "Yanyan Chen and Jianming Ma and Guohui Zhang and Haizhong Wang and Lijun Sun and Zhengbing He",
booktitle = "CICTP 2023",
}