An econometric model of world silk production, 1870-1914

Giovanni Federico

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


The paper presents and estimates an econometric model of world silk production from 1870 to 1913, which takes into account the world demand and the supply of the three main exporters - Italy, China, and Japan. The demand curve increased as much as the income of the "core" countries did, and the performance of the producing countries was on the whole pretty good. Their supply increased as much as the demand, keeping real prices of silk stable while world trade trebled. Productivity increased in all three countries, but Japan ranked first by far, Italy second, and China trailed well behind the other two. These different performances account for the long-run changes in the respective market shares.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)250-274
Number of pages25
JournalExplorations in Economic History
Issue number2
StatePublished - Apr 1996

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • History
  • Economics and Econometrics

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