Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system

Edwin P. Gerber; Amy Butler; Natalia Calvo; Andrew Charlton-Perez; Marco Giorgetta; Elisa Manzini; Judith Perlwitz; Lorenzo M. Polvani; Fabrizio Sassi; Adam A. Scaife; Tiffany A. Shaw; Seok Woo Son; Shingo Watanabe

doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system

Edwin P. Gerber, Amy Butler, Natalia Calvo, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Marco Giorgetta, Elisa Manzini, Judith Perlwitz, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Fabrizio Sassi, Adam A. Scaife, Tiffany A. Shaw, Seok Woo Son, Shingo Watanabe

Mathematics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

The Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) activity of the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) project is a multidisciplinary research forum focused on the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability. The stratosphere plays an important role in determining the climate response to volcanic and solar forcing. An early numerical study by Boville and Baumhefner (1990) explored the impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric predictability, finding that tropospheric error growth rates increased when the stratosphere of their model was degraded. In a complementary study, Jung and Barkmeijer (2006) find that forcing perturbations applied only in the stratosphere can impact the troposphere in just a few days, demonstrating the potential for model error in the stratosphere to corrupt a surface forecast. A number of NWP centers now include a better representation of the stratosphere to improve short-range forecasts. 119.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	845-859
Number of pages	15
Journal	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume	93
Issue number	6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1
State	Published - Jun 2012

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Atmospheric Science

Access to Document

10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

Cite this

Gerber, E. P., Butler, A., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Giorgetta, M., Manzini, E., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L. M., Sassi, F., Scaife, A. A., Shaw, T. A., Son, S. W., & Watanabe, S. (2012). Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93(6), 845-859. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

Gerber, EP, Butler, A, Calvo, N, Charlton-Perez, A, Giorgetta, M, Manzini, E, Perlwitz, J, Polvani, LM, Sassi, F, Scaife, AA, Shaw, TA, Son, SW & Watanabe, S 2012, 'Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 93, no. 6, pp. 845-859. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

@article{5bad7a14e75c4c74b17fe301e4cbb908,

title = "Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system",

abstract = "The Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) activity of the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) project is a multidisciplinary research forum focused on the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability. The stratosphere plays an important role in determining the climate response to volcanic and solar forcing. An early numerical study by Boville and Baumhefner (1990) explored the impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric predictability, finding that tropospheric error growth rates increased when the stratosphere of their model was degraded. In a complementary study, Jung and Barkmeijer (2006) find that forcing perturbations applied only in the stratosphere can impact the troposphere in just a few days, demonstrating the potential for model error in the stratosphere to corrupt a surface forecast. A number of NWP centers now include a better representation of the stratosphere to improve short-range forecasts. 119.",

author = "Gerber, {Edwin P.} and Amy Butler and Natalia Calvo and Andrew Charlton-Perez and Marco Giorgetta and Elisa Manzini and Judith Perlwitz and Polvani, {Lorenzo M.} and Fabrizio Sassi and Scaife, {Adam A.} and Shaw, {Tiffany A.} and Son, {Seok Woo} and Shingo Watanabe",

year = "2012",

month = jun,

doi = "10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1",

language = "English (US)",

volume = "93",

pages = "845--859",

journal = "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society",

issn = "0003-0007",

publisher = "American Meteorological Society",

number = "6",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system

AU - Gerber, Edwin P.

AU - Butler, Amy

AU - Calvo, Natalia

AU - Charlton-Perez, Andrew

AU - Giorgetta, Marco

AU - Manzini, Elisa

AU - Perlwitz, Judith

AU - Polvani, Lorenzo M.

AU - Sassi, Fabrizio

AU - Scaife, Adam A.

AU - Shaw, Tiffany A.

AU - Son, Seok Woo

AU - Watanabe, Shingo

PY - 2012/6

Y1 - 2012/6

N2 - The Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) activity of the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) project is a multidisciplinary research forum focused on the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability. The stratosphere plays an important role in determining the climate response to volcanic and solar forcing. An early numerical study by Boville and Baumhefner (1990) explored the impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric predictability, finding that tropospheric error growth rates increased when the stratosphere of their model was degraded. In a complementary study, Jung and Barkmeijer (2006) find that forcing perturbations applied only in the stratosphere can impact the troposphere in just a few days, demonstrating the potential for model error in the stratosphere to corrupt a surface forecast. A number of NWP centers now include a better representation of the stratosphere to improve short-range forecasts. 119.

AB - The Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) activity of the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) project is a multidisciplinary research forum focused on the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability. The stratosphere plays an important role in determining the climate response to volcanic and solar forcing. An early numerical study by Boville and Baumhefner (1990) explored the impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric predictability, finding that tropospheric error growth rates increased when the stratosphere of their model was degraded. In a complementary study, Jung and Barkmeijer (2006) find that forcing perturbations applied only in the stratosphere can impact the troposphere in just a few days, demonstrating the potential for model error in the stratosphere to corrupt a surface forecast. A number of NWP centers now include a better representation of the stratosphere to improve short-range forecasts. 119.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84863639473&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84863639473&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

DO - 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:84863639473

SN - 0003-0007

VL - 93

SP - 845

EP - 859

JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

IS - 6

ER -

Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this