Baseline and change in uric acid concentration over time are associated with incident hypertension in large Korean cohort

BACKGROUND It is uncertain whether high-baseline uric acid (UA) or change in UA concentration over time is related to development of incident hypertension. To investigate relationships between: (i) baseline serum UA concentration and (ii) change in UA concentration and incident hypertension. METHODS About 96,606 Korean individuals (with follow-up UA data available for 56,085 people) participating in a health check program was undertaken. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident hypertension according to UA quartiles regarding the lowest UA quartile as the reference, and also according to change in UA concentration comparing individuals with an increase in UA to those with a decrease in UA concentration over time. RESULTS Total follow up time was 8 years (median follow-up 3.3 years; interquartile range, 1.9-5.1). About 10,405 cases of incident hypertension occurred. In the fully adjusted regression models, the HRs (95% CI) for incident hypertension comparing the highest vs. the lowest quartiles of UA were 1.29 (1.19-1.38) in men and 1.24 (1.09-1.42) in women, with statistically significant P for trend for both gender. Additionally, stable or increasing UA concentration over time was associated with increased risk of incident hypertension, particularly in participants with baseline UA concentration ≥median (aHRs 1.14; 95% CI (1.03-1.26) and 1.18; 95% CI (0.98-1.40) in men and women, respectively). CONCLUSIONS High initial UA concentration and increases in UA concentration over time should be considered independent risk factors for hypertension.