TY - JOUR
T1 - Bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility models based on OU processes with marginal Gamma law
AU - Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
AU - Sögner, Leopold
N1 - Funding Information:
Acknowledgments This work was supported by the Austrian Science Foundation (FWF) under grant SFB 010 (‘Adaptive Information Systems and Modelling in Economics and Management Science’). We would like to thank Omiros Papaspiliopoulos, Gareth Roberts, Friedrich Hubalek, Robert Tompkins, and, in particular, Neil Shephard for many extremely helpful comments and suggestions concerning this work. Finally, we thank Christoph Pamminger for his support with running the MCMC simulations.
PY - 2009/3
Y1 - 2009/3
N2 - This paper discusses practical Bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility models based on OU processes with marginal Gamma laws. Estimation is based on a parameterization which is derived from the Rosiński representation, and has the advantage of being a non-centered parameterization. The parameterization is based on a marked point process, living on the positive real line, with uniformly distributed marks. We define a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) scheme which enables multiple updates of the latent point process, and generalizes single updating algorithm used earlier. At each MCMC draw more than one point is added or deleted from the latent point process. This is particularly useful for high intensity processes. Furthermore, the article deals with superposition models, where it discuss how the identifiability problem inherent in the superposition model may be avoided by the use of a Markov prior. Finally, applications to simulated data as well as exchange rate data are discussed.
AB - This paper discusses practical Bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility models based on OU processes with marginal Gamma laws. Estimation is based on a parameterization which is derived from the Rosiński representation, and has the advantage of being a non-centered parameterization. The parameterization is based on a marked point process, living on the positive real line, with uniformly distributed marks. We define a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) scheme which enables multiple updates of the latent point process, and generalizes single updating algorithm used earlier. At each MCMC draw more than one point is added or deleted from the latent point process. This is particularly useful for high intensity processes. Furthermore, the article deals with superposition models, where it discuss how the identifiability problem inherent in the superposition model may be avoided by the use of a Markov prior. Finally, applications to simulated data as well as exchange rate data are discussed.
KW - Data augmentation
KW - Identification
KW - Marked point processes
KW - Markov chain Monte Carlo
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U2 - 10.1007/s10463-007-0130-8
DO - 10.1007/s10463-007-0130-8
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:59849095122
SN - 0020-3157
VL - 61
SP - 159
EP - 179
JO - Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
JF - Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
IS - 1
ER -