Abstract
Comparative tests of predictive accuracy across models are exceptionally rare in political science. The collection of articles in this issue provides a rigorous, systematic evaluation of alternative models for explaining and predicting decision-making within the European Union. I examine how alternative models were evaluated and raise questions about the differences in the extent to which the operational definitions of variables match contending theoretical approaches. I also raise questions regarding the difference between models with regard to whether the issues are part of a repeated game or a single-shot game. Finally, I propose future tests to hone in on some of the puzzles raised by the findings reported here.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 125-138 |
Number of pages | 14 |
Journal | European Union Politics |
Volume | 5 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Mar 2004 |
Keywords
- Measurement
- Models
- Post-diction
- Prediction
- Reliability
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Health(social science)
- Demography
- Political Science and International Relations