TY - GEN
T1 - Estimating Profitability of Alternative Cryptocurrencies (Short Paper)
AU - Huang, Danny Yuxing
AU - Levchenko, Kirill
AU - Snoeren, Alex C.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© International Financial Cryptography Association 2018.
Copyright:
Copyright 2019 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - Digital currencies have flourished in recent years, buoyed by the tremendous success of Bitcoin. These blockchain-based currencies, called altcoins, are associated with a few thousand to millions of dollars of market capitalization. Altcoins have attracted enthusiasts who enter the market by mining or buying them, but the risks and rewards could potentially be significant, especially when the market is volatile. In this work, we estimate the potential profitability of mining and speculating 18 altcoins using real-world blockchain and trade data. Using opportunity cost as a metric, we estimate the mining cost for an altcoin with respect to a more popular but stable coin. For every dollar invested in mining or buying a coin, we compute the potential returns under various conditions, such as time of market entry and hold positions. While some coins offer the potential for spectacular returns, many follow a simple bubble-and-crash scenario, which highlights the extreme risks—and potential gains—in altcoin markets.
AB - Digital currencies have flourished in recent years, buoyed by the tremendous success of Bitcoin. These blockchain-based currencies, called altcoins, are associated with a few thousand to millions of dollars of market capitalization. Altcoins have attracted enthusiasts who enter the market by mining or buying them, but the risks and rewards could potentially be significant, especially when the market is volatile. In this work, we estimate the potential profitability of mining and speculating 18 altcoins using real-world blockchain and trade data. Using opportunity cost as a metric, we estimate the mining cost for an altcoin with respect to a more popular but stable coin. For every dollar invested in mining or buying a coin, we compute the potential returns under various conditions, such as time of market entry and hold positions. While some coins offer the potential for spectacular returns, many follow a simple bubble-and-crash scenario, which highlights the extreme risks—and potential gains—in altcoin markets.
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U2 - 10.1007/978-3-662-58387-6_22
DO - 10.1007/978-3-662-58387-6_22
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85072865689
SN - 9783662583869
T3 - Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
SP - 409
EP - 419
BT - Financial Cryptography and Data Security - 22nd International Conference, FC 2018, Revised Selected Papers
A2 - Meiklejohn, Sarah
A2 - Sako, Kazue
PB - Springer Verlag
T2 - 22nd International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, 2018
Y2 - 26 February 2018 through 2 March 2018
ER -