Finite-time 4-expert prediction problem

Erhan Bayraktar, Ibrahim Ekren, Xin Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We explicitly solve the nonlinear PDE that is the continuous limit of dynamic programing equation of the expert prediction problem in finite horizon setting with N = 4 experts. The expert prediction problem is formulated as a zero sum game between a player and an adversary. By showing that the solution is (Formula presented.) we are able to show that the comb strategies, as conjectured by Gravin et al., form an asymptotic Nash equilibrium. We also prove the “Finite vs Geometric regret” conjecture proposed in arXiv:1409.3040 for N = 4, and show that this conjecture in fact follows from the conjecture that the comb strategies are optimal for all N.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)714-757
Number of pages44
JournalCommunications in Partial Differential Equations
Volume45
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 2 2020

Keywords

  • asymptotic expansion
  • expert advice framework
  • inverse Laplace transform
  • Jacobi-theta function
  • Machine learning
  • regret minimization

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Analysis
  • Applied Mathematics

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