TY - JOUR
T1 - Learning in mis-specified models and the possibility of cycles
AU - Nyarko, Yaw
PY - 1991/12
Y1 - 1991/12
N2 - I study the problem of a monopolist maximizing a sum of discounted profits facing a linear demand curve whose slope and intercept are unknown. I show that if the monopolist has a mis-specified model, i.e., if the true slope and intercept lie outside of the support of the monopolist's prior beliefs, then actions and beliefs may cycle on every sample path. This behavior is shown to be robust to perturbations in the prior, true parameter, and actions. Such behavior is not possible if the agent's model is correctly specified; instead actions and beliefs necessarily converge.
AB - I study the problem of a monopolist maximizing a sum of discounted profits facing a linear demand curve whose slope and intercept are unknown. I show that if the monopolist has a mis-specified model, i.e., if the true slope and intercept lie outside of the support of the monopolist's prior beliefs, then actions and beliefs may cycle on every sample path. This behavior is shown to be robust to perturbations in the prior, true parameter, and actions. Such behavior is not possible if the agent's model is correctly specified; instead actions and beliefs necessarily converge.
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U2 - 10.1016/0022-0531(91)90047-8
DO - 10.1016/0022-0531(91)90047-8
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:0001383591
SN - 0022-0531
VL - 55
SP - 416
EP - 427
JO - Journal of Economic Theory
JF - Journal of Economic Theory
IS - 2
ER -