Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise

R. Kleeman, S. B. Power

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

A coupled-ocean atmosphere model with demonstrated skill in ENSO prediction is used to examine limits to predictability due to stochastic momentum forcing from the atmosphere. Previous estimates of predictability limits in coupled models may be overly optimistic because of the absence of realistic atmospheric noise in the intermediate atmospheric model used. It is found that unavoidable error grows rapidly with a time scale of 4 or so months. It then saturates at a level around 0.5°C for the Nino 3 region. -Authors

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)529-540
Number of pages12
JournalTellus, Series A
Volume46 A
Issue number4
StatePublished - 1994

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Oceanography
  • Atmospheric Science

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this