Modeling the future effects of a menthol ban on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths in the United States

David T. Levy, Jennifer L. Pearson, Andrea C. Villanti, Kenneth Blackman, Donna M. Vallone, Raymond S. Niaura, David Abrams

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We used a validated smoking simulation model and data from the 2003 Tobacco Use Supplement to the Current Population Survey to project the impact that a US menthol ban would have on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths. In a scenario in which 30% of menthol smokers quit and 30% of those who would have initiated as menthol smokers do not initiate, by 2050 the relative reduction in smoking prevalence would be 9.7% overall and 24.8% for Blacks; deaths averted would be 633252 overall and 237317 for Blacks.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1236-1240
Number of pages5
JournalAmerican journal of public health
Volume101
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 1 2011

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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