Ordered Beta Regression: A Parsimonious, Well-Fitting Model for Continuous Data with Lower and Upper Bounds

Robert Kubinec

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

I propose a new model, ordered Beta regression, for continuous distributions with both lower and upper bounds, such as data arising from survey slider scales, visual analog scales, and dose-response relationships. This model employs the cut point technique popularized by ordered logit to fit a single linear model to both continuous (0,1) and degenerate [0,1] responses. The model can be estimated with or without observations at the bounds, and as such is a general solution for these types of data. Employing a Monte Carlo simulation, I show that the model is noticeably more efficient than ordinary least squares regression, zero-And-one-inflated Beta regression, rescaled Beta regression, and fractional logit while fully capturing nuances in the outcome. I apply the model to a replication of the Aidt and Jensen (2014, European Economic Review 72, 52-75) study of suffrage extensions in Europe. The model can be fit with the R package ordbetareg to facilitate hierarchical, dynamic, and multivariate modeling.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)519-536
Number of pages18
JournalPolitical Analysis
Volume31
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 27 2023

Keywords

  • Bayesian statistics
  • limited dependent variables
  • regression modeling

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Political Science and International Relations

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