Predicting norm change using threshold models

Moritz Janas; Nikos Nikiforakis; Simon Siegenthaler

doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2025.101994

Predicting norm change using threshold models

Moritz Janas, Nikos Nikiforakis, Simon Siegenthaler

Economics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review

Abstract

Anticipating changes in social norms presents a significant challenge for social scientists. Historical instances when researchers failed to predict dramatic shifts in collective behavior, along with the persistence of norms that impede welfare, underscore the need for a deeper understanding of how norms evolve. This article reviews current advancements in predicting norm change using threshold models. We document the rise of empirical studies, emphasize recent methodological developments, and discuss open questions for future research.

Original language	English (US)
Article number	101994
Journal	Current Opinion in Psychology
Volume	62
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2025.101994
State	Published - Apr 2025

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General Psychology

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10.1016/j.copsyc.2025.101994

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title = "Predicting norm change using threshold models",

abstract = "Anticipating changes in social norms presents a significant challenge for social scientists. Historical instances when researchers failed to predict dramatic shifts in collective behavior, along with the persistence of norms that impede welfare, underscore the need for a deeper understanding of how norms evolve. This article reviews current advancements in predicting norm change using threshold models. We document the rise of empirical studies, emphasize recent methodological developments, and discuss open questions for future research.",

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AB - Anticipating changes in social norms presents a significant challenge for social scientists. Historical instances when researchers failed to predict dramatic shifts in collective behavior, along with the persistence of norms that impede welfare, underscore the need for a deeper understanding of how norms evolve. This article reviews current advancements in predicting norm change using threshold models. We document the rise of empirical studies, emphasize recent methodological developments, and discuss open questions for future research.

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Predicting norm change using threshold models

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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