TY - JOUR
T1 - Race-based neighbourhood projection
T2 - A proposed framework for understanding new data on racial integration
AU - Ellen, I. G.
PY - 2000
Y1 - 2000
N2 - This paper outlines the race-based, neighbourhood projection hypothesis which holds that, in choosing neighbourhoods, households care less about present racial composition than they do about expectations about future neighbourhood conditions, such as school quality, property values and crime. Race remains relevant, however, since households tend to associate a growing minority presence with structural decline. Using a unique data-set that links households to their neighbourhoods, this paper estimates both exit and entry models and then constructs a simple simulation model that predicts the course of racial change in different communities. Doing so, the paper concludes that the empirical evidence is more consistent with the race-based projection hypothesis than with other common explanations for neighbourhood racial transition.
AB - This paper outlines the race-based, neighbourhood projection hypothesis which holds that, in choosing neighbourhoods, households care less about present racial composition than they do about expectations about future neighbourhood conditions, such as school quality, property values and crime. Race remains relevant, however, since households tend to associate a growing minority presence with structural decline. Using a unique data-set that links households to their neighbourhoods, this paper estimates both exit and entry models and then constructs a simple simulation model that predicts the course of racial change in different communities. Doing so, the paper concludes that the empirical evidence is more consistent with the race-based projection hypothesis than with other common explanations for neighbourhood racial transition.
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U2 - 10.1080/00420980020080241
DO - 10.1080/00420980020080241
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:0033836813
SN - 0042-0980
VL - 37
SP - 1513
EP - 1533
JO - Urban Studies
JF - Urban Studies
IS - 9
ER -