TY - JOUR
T1 - Revisiting electoral volatility in post-communist countries
T2 - New data, new results and new approaches
AU - Powell, Eleanor Neff
AU - Tucker, Joshua A.
N1 - Copyright:
Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2014/1
Y1 - 2014/1
N2 - This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found.
AB - This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found.
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U2 - 10.1017/S0007123412000531
DO - 10.1017/S0007123412000531
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84881515437
VL - 44
SP - 123
EP - 147
JO - British Journal of Political Science
JF - British Journal of Political Science
SN - 0007-1234
IS - 1
ER -