Revisiting electoral volatility in post-communist countries: New data, new results and new approaches

Eleanor Neff Powell, Joshua A. Tucker

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Abstract

    This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found.

    Original languageEnglish (US)
    Pages (from-to)123-147
    Number of pages25
    JournalBritish Journal of Political Science
    Volume44
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jan 2014

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Sociology and Political Science

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