Abstract
A planner and agent in a permanent-income economy cannot observe part of the state, regard their model as an approximation, and value decision rules that are robust across a set of models. They use robust decision theory to choose allocations. Equilibrium prices reflect the preference for robustness and so embody a "market price of Knightian uncertainty." We compute market prices of risk and compare them with a model that assumes that the state is fully observed. We use detection error probabilities to constrain a single parameter that governs the taste for robustness.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 40-84 |
Number of pages | 45 |
Journal | Macroeconomic Dynamics |
Volume | 6 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Feb 2002 |
Keywords
- Approximating Model
- Equity Premium
- Kalman Filter
- Knightian Uncertainty
- Market Price of Uncertainty
- Permanent Income
- Robustness
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics and Econometrics