Sub-seasonal predictability and the stratosphere

Amy Butler, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Chaim Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Peter Hitchcock, Alexey Yu Karpechko, Amanda C. Maycock, Michael Sigmond, Isla Simpson, Seok Woo Son

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Abstract

The stratosphere and the troposphere are coupled in many ways. Because their interactions span days to weeks (or even longer), understanding these linkages and simulating them correctly in forecast models may provide a source of sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction skill. This chapter reviews the tropical and extratropical coupling between the stratosphere and the troposphere and summarizes the most recent research showing how adequate simulation of the stratosphere may contribute to better prediction skill in the troposphere.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationSub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction
Subtitle of host publicationThe Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting
PublisherElsevier
Pages223-241
Number of pages19
ISBN (Electronic)9780128117149
ISBN (Print)9780128117156
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2018

Keywords

  • Extratropical troposphere
  • QBO influence
  • S2S prediction
  • Stratosphere
  • Sub-seasonal prediction
  • Troposphere

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science(all)

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  • Cite this

    Butler, A., Charlton-Perez, A., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C., Gerber, E. P., Hitchcock, P., Karpechko, A. Y., Maycock, A. C., Sigmond, M., Simpson, I., & Son, S. W. (2018). Sub-seasonal predictability and the stratosphere. In Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting (pp. 223-241). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00011-5