Tropical teleconnection impacts on Antarctic climate changes

Xichen Li, Wenju Cai, Gerald A. Meehl, Dake Chen, Xiaojun Yuan, Marilyn Raphael, David M. Holland, Qinghua Ding, Ryan L. Fogt, Bradley R. Markle, Guojian Wang, David H. Bromwich, John Turner, Shang Ping Xie, Eric J. Steig, Sarah T. Gille, Cunde Xiao, Bingyi Wu, Matthew A. Lazzara, Xianyao ChenSharon Stammerjohn, Paul R. Holland, Marika M. Holland, Xiao Cheng, Stephen F. Price, Zhaomin Wang, Cecilia M. Bitz, Jiuxin Shi, Edwin P. Gerber, Xi Liang, Hugues Goosse, Changhyun Yoo, Minghu Ding, Lei Geng, Meijiao Xin, Chuanjin Li, Tingfeng Dou, Chengyan Liu, Weijun Sun, Xinyue Wang, Chentao Song

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

Abstract

Over the modern satellite era, substantial climatic changes have been observed in the Antarctic, including atmospheric and oceanic warming, ice sheet thinning and a general Antarctic-wide expansion of sea ice, followed by a more recent rapid loss. Although these changes, featuring strong zonal asymmetry, are partially influenced by increasing greenhouse gas emissions and stratospheric ozone depletion, tropical–polar teleconnections are believed to have a role through Rossby wave dynamics. In this Review, we synthesize understanding of tropical teleconnections to the Southern Hemisphere extratropics arising from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, focusing on the mechanisms and long-term climatic impacts. These teleconnections have contributed to observed Antarctic and Southern Ocean changes, including regional rapid surface warming, pre-2015 sea ice expansion and its sudden reduction thereafter, changes in ocean heat content and accelerated thinning of most of the Antarctic ice sheet. However, due to limited observations and inherent model biases, uncertainties remain in understanding and assessing the importance of these teleconnections versus those arising from greenhouse gases, ozone recovery and internal variability. Sustained pan-Antarctic efforts towards long-term observations, and more realistic dynamics and parameterizations in high-resolution climate models, offer opportunities to reduce these uncertainties.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)680-698
Number of pages19
JournalNature Reviews Earth and Environment
Volume2
Issue number10
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2021

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science
  • Earth-Surface Processes
  • Nature and Landscape Conservation
  • Pollution

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