Understanding post-disaster population recovery patterns

Takahiro Yabe, Kota Tsubouchi, Naoya Fujiwara, Yoshihide Sekimoto, Satish V. Ukkusuri

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


Despite the rising importance of enhancing community resilience to disasters, our understandings on when, how and why communities are able to recover from such extreme events are limited. Here, we study the macroscopic population recovery patterns in disaster affected regions, by observing human mobility trajectories of over 1.9 million mobile phone users across three countries before, during and after five major disasters. We find that, despite the diversity in socio-economic characteristics among the affected regions and the types of hazards, population recovery trends after significant displacement resemble similar patterns after all five disasters. Moreover, the heterogeneity in initial and long-term displacement rates across communities in the three countries were explained bya set of key common factors, including the community's median income level, population, housing damage rates and the connectedness to other cities. Such insights discovered from large-scale empirical data could assist policymaking in various disciplines for developing community resilience to disasters.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number0532
JournalJournal of the Royal Society Interface
Issue number163
StatePublished - Feb 1 2020


  • Disaster resilience
  • Human mobility
  • Mobile phone data
  • Population recovery

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Biotechnology
  • Biophysics
  • Bioengineering
  • Biomaterials
  • Biochemistry
  • Biomedical Engineering


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